Statistics guy, founder of fivethirtyeight.com, a site that tracks sports stats and aggregates political polls. He grades polls based on their methodology and then weighs them accordingly to try and predict political outcomes. He’s been super defensive since polling has been so off the last few elections, leaning heavily on “We don’t do the polling, we just rank and aggregate the polls.” Basically, “If I’m right I’m a genius, if I’m wrong- I’m not actually, you just don’t understand statistics.”
What type of sandwich are these good on?
Nah, the Supreme Court said some official acts are protected without defining what would constitute an official act. The ambiguity paves the road for them to grant immunity on an ad-hoc basis depending on whether the President is a Republican or Democrat. I think we can all guess which party’s actions will be considered immune and which won’t. They might as well have just wrote, “Rules for thee, not for me!”
Worst is when they don't realize the car driving up the other lane isn't stopping too, so your refusal to cross comes across like you’re oblivious or ignoring them.
Fetterman has been Schumer’s boy since at at least 2016, and ol’ Chuck was bound to pull on his leash eventually. PA got six years of Pat Toomey because Chuck Schumer and Joe Sestak have beef, so Schumer enlisted Fetterman to run against him and split the progressive vote. A little known mayor with no statewide name recognition won the Democratic primary and went on to lose to Toomey. Sestsk had a comfortable lead in the then likely matchup against Toomey before Fetterman entered the race.
Yes, Trump did, he set-up a bomb he could disarm if re-elected or watch go off if not. But Trump scheduled the withdrawal for May 2021.
Biden pushed it to Sept 11 rather than to a timeline that minimized risk. He prioritized potential political opportunity over human lives.
I'm voting for Biden come Nov 24, but he could have done much better and we can't use Trump to absolve Biden and the others that failed in their leadership. Not being the fascist candidate doesn’t excuse failure.
I give Biden immense credit for getting us out, and for all we know Biden feared that he would fall to pressure from forces insisting the war continue just as he saw past administrations including Obama do, but it did not have to be the clusterfuck it was. The administration created unnecessary risk toUS personnel and coalition personnel, and left a lot of Afghan partners behind and at the mercy of a hostile regime. Innocent people lost their lives as a result.
While Trump set Biden up for failure as much as possible with stupid decisions like agreeing to free thousands of Taliban, the Biden admin shares responsibility by not having appropriate coordination between the Departments of State and Defense, downplaying the Afghan governments non-viability without coalition military backing, and insisting on leaving by September 11th 2021 for the sake of being out by the 20th anniversary of 9/11 rather than prioritizing a timeline that ensured safety.
This isn't just Republican media though, l've seen this in the New York Times, the Washington Post, The Guardian, Vox, and the BBC; all have framed it as a decision made rather than a legal obligation. There is this nefarious idea of, “Well, he should have just not done it,” which is the exact kind of unconstitutional executive overreach that Trump and Republicans regularly call for.
Yeah, that’s my problem with him in a nutshell, he falls back on the things inherent to dealing in probabilities. It’s perfectly fine to say, “Our model did account for this possibility, but obviously we could do better and need to work out where we made mistakes.” Instead, he says things like “Fuck you, we did a good job!” Then there’s the whole hypocrisy of building a company around overemphasizing polling while telling people they misunderstand polling and need to stop overemphasizing them.
While it’s true polls are misrepresented in the media and generally misunderstood, he is perfectly happy to play into misconceptions when it benefits his company’s image and bottom line, but then gets indignant when people point out he may be part of the problem by emphasizing conventional wisdom too much in his ranking of polls, giving high marks to methodologies that later were proven to be flawed and low marks to polls that are later proven to be relatively accurate.
Statistics guy, founder of fivethirtyeight.com, a site that tracks sports stats and aggregates political polls. He grades polls based on their methodology and then weighs them accordingly to try and predict political outcomes. He’s been super defensive since polling has been so off the last few elections, leaning heavily on “We don’t do the polling, we just rank and aggregate the polls.” Basically, “If I’m right I’m a genius, if I’m wrong- I’m not actually, you just don’t understand statistics.”
Based on what’s been presented, cutting them off seems an extreme step at this point. It doesn’t seem B1 attempted to fake suicide, but that you and your parents assumed as much. That assumption and saying he’s “going nowhere” indicates you may not be as supportive or understanding of his mental health as you claim or think you are. B2 may have simply been able to support B1 in a time of crisis in a way you couldn’t. I’d seek family therapy if possible, therapy for yourself at a minimum.
Because Jenna, just like he is about only one man, his MAGA Inc. is only about one man; learn to extrapolate.
“I’m running to be the 2024 candidate for the 2012 Republican Party.”
The only reason he declared he was running so early was to get ahead of the indictments and claim it was a political persecution. He seriously seemed to believe that once he declared they would all be too afraid to indict. Turns out the Justice Dept, NY, and GA dgaf, as any reasonable lawyer would have told him. He actually kind of fucked himself over by declaring so early because it trigger campaign finance laws and limited how he could fundraise or speak to his PACs, and all for no gain.
They don’t even have to involve themselves with the inquiry that’s been called because the government didn’t give it the powers to compel testimony; they made it all voluntary.
It had been determined she was the only one on shift for each by the first few incidents, but hospital heads refused to do anything. Instead of listening to a team of neonatal pediatricians who called for a police inquiry, they called outside experts and then even when those experts said they needed to get police involved, they ignored them. They don’t even have to engage with the inquiry that’s been called because the government didn’t give it the powers to compel testimony.
True, but a lot of the international similarities come down to the US requiring airlines and departure airports to create equivalent security standards to the US to even be able to fly into US airports or transit US airspace. “Oh, Heathrow doesn’t want to implement equivalent security protocols, well then I guess Heathrow and it’s partner airlines will just have to deal with not having access to the US market.”
Yeah, isn’t it great! We now have an entire industry built around solving a problem our government created! It’s positively fantastic to live in a country where the government supports unbridled capitalism so wholeheartedly that it creates niches for companies like CLEAR and IDEMIA to fill!!! /s
It’s the central tenet of common law, the foundation stone of our entire system of governance, but one wouldn’t know it with the way some of our supposed leaders discard it whenever convenient.
Yep, at least he’ll hopefully still caucus with dems and confirm Judge’s. He’d for sure be a spiteful POS if he is kicked out.